Obama's VP Pick

I hope it's Joe Biden.

More on the Caucus

So my Iowa predictions were marginally correct but I missed the boat on Joe Biden and Ron Paul didn't do nearly as well as I thought he would. The Democratic side, while still wide open, seems to be coming together whereas on the Republican side, nothing is clear. Politico calls it "total disarray."

As I was driving around today they had some political "experts" on NPR and one of them [I wish I had caught his name] mentioned a "truth" regarding our two parties...Democrats are tolerant of ambiguity and Republicans are intolerant of ambiguity. And so consequently, this uncertainty in the Republican race is not sitting well with Republicans.

Not sure if I buy into it, but it is something that I hadn't heard expressed that way before.

The Byrds -- I Wanna Grow Up To Be A Politician
There a million Byrds compilations out there, one of the two that I own is Super Hits.

Predicting the Future

It's time to put up or shut up in Iowa with the Caucuses around the corner next week...so here are my predictions for the Democratic and Republican results:

Democrats:

1. Obama
2. Edwards
3. Clinton
4. Biden

Obama finishes two percentage points above Edwards, who finishes two percentage points above Hillary. In the end, Edwards support is surprisingly high but overall, not much is determined. All three candidates declare victory and we are on to New Hampshire. Biden has a surprisingly strong finish...maybe 9% and survives to fight another day in New Hampshire...

Republicans:

1. Huckabee
2. Romney
3. Paul
4. Giuliani
5. McCain
6. Thompson

The surprise here is that Huckabee wins by 8% and Paul finishes third by only 1%. Romney is on the downward slide into the "what could have been" category of American politics, right next to Howard Dean. Giuliani comes in fourth but his campaign is unfazed by it due to the already low expectations. Thompson's campaign is effectively over and McCain must win New Hampshire to stay alive.

Regina Spektor -- The Ghost of Corporate Future
From her debut album Soviet Kitsch.

This One's For Mom

A quote from Senator Biden for my Mom, a Joe Biden fan for more ways than one.

"This progress report is like the guy who’s falling from a 100-story building and says half-way down that ‘everything’s fine."