Friday, December 28, 2007

Predicting the Future

It's time to put up or shut up in Iowa with the Caucuses around the corner next here are my predictions for the Democratic and Republican results:


1. Obama
2. Edwards
3. Clinton
4. Biden

Obama finishes two percentage points above Edwards, who finishes two percentage points above Hillary. In the end, Edwards support is surprisingly high but overall, not much is determined. All three candidates declare victory and we are on to New Hampshire. Biden has a surprisingly strong finish...maybe 9% and survives to fight another day in New Hampshire...


1. Huckabee
2. Romney
3. Paul
4. Giuliani
5. McCain
6. Thompson

The surprise here is that Huckabee wins by 8% and Paul finishes third by only 1%. Romney is on the downward slide into the "what could have been" category of American politics, right next to Howard Dean. Giuliani comes in fourth but his campaign is unfazed by it due to the already low expectations. Thompson's campaign is effectively over and McCain must win New Hampshire to stay alive.

Regina Spektor -- The Ghost of Corporate Future
From her debut album Soviet Kitsch.